Freight and logistics hub for Adelaide Airport East Precinct

AUSTRALIA’s Adelaide Airport has released its 2019 Preliminary Draft Master Plan, highlighting plans for growth, jobs creation and sustainable economic development over the next 20 years. 

The airport has grown significantly as a major economic and employment generator in South Australia and this growth is expected to continue over the next two decades. 

Since 2014, passenger numbers have increased by one million to 8.5 million, airport-related jobs have grown by 5,000 to 22,800 and the airport’s contribution to  Gross State Product has been boosted by more than A$1 billion to A$2.98 billion, representing 3.1 per cent of the State’s economic growth. 

Over the next 20 years, forecasts indicate passenger numbers will grow to 19.8 million – including 3.3 million international travellers – while air freight will almost triple from 58,500 tonnes to 146,000 tonnes. 

Infrastructure projects expected to be under way or completed over the next five years include domestic and international terminal expansion (this currently is under construction) and a freight and logistics hub in the Airport East Precinct to the south of the main runway with dedicated access via Richmond Road. 

Mark Young, managing director Adelaide Airport said a lot had been achieved in the past five years. 

“Adelaide Airport remains one of the fastest-growing domestic and international airports in Australia, and since 2014 we’ve attracted major new airlines including Qatar Airways and China Southern,” said Young. 

“We’ve also built the new Atura Hotel, commenced a major terminal expansion project, and attracted major companies to our precinct such as OZ Minerals, Australian Clinical Labs, Otis, Kennards Self Storage, Aldi and AFL Max. 

“The growth of Adelaide Airport is inextricably linked with the development of South Australia. We play an essential role in the economic prosperity and development of the State through creating jobs and supporting business, tourism and leisure activities. 

“We are planning and building appropriate levels of infrastructure to stay ahead of this growth and maintain our reputation as one of Australia’s most modern airports. 

“The Master Plan is one of our most important documents in that it is our primary planning tool for the next eight years, while presenting our long-term strategic plans until 2039. 

“Looking forward, we see the completion of the terminal expansion project in 2021 and the creation of a freight and logistics hub in our Airport East Precinct as important goals for our business. 

“Adelaide Airport’s proximity to the city and its suburbs also means that careful planning and consultation is required to ensure that the aviation considerations of the airport are protected, while also ensuring that operational requirements are balanced with the community’s needs.” 

Mr Young said innovation and technology would play a key role in airport development over the next eight years. 

“The Adelaide Airport of tomorrow will feature new technologies and processes that make the customer experience faster, easier and more intuitive,” he said. 

“Future technologies potentially include smart phone wayfinding for the entire journey ‘from home to aircraft’, permanent bag tags built into luggage, decentralised bag drops such as at your hotel, and combined security and emigration walk-through screening using biometrics. 

“At the same time, the safety and security of all airport users is paramount, and our facilities are constantly evolving based on regulatory outcomes.” 

 Young said the Master Plan was just one part of Adelaide Airport’s ongoing consultation with the community, with regular stakeholder consultative committees and community updates just two of the ways the airport reached out to the local community. 

The Adelaide Airport 2019 Preliminary Draft Master Plan (PDMP) is on public display until October 28, 2019.

‘A three pillars’ approach needed to boost APAC capacity - Gittens

Airports Council International (ACI) World has called for improved coordination among industry stakeholders to increase capacity in the Asia-Pacific region, home to some of the fastest-growing economies and aviation markets.

Speaking at the recent 56th Conference of Directors General of Civil Aviation, Asia and Pacific Region, ACI director general Angela Gittens addressed the three necessary pillars of improving capacity: Using what we have efficiently, protecting the use of what we have and developing more when necessary.

“We need to ensure that aviation continues to generate socio-economic benefits to communities and countries, many of which are small island developing states (SIDS) challenged by small population, limited human capital, confined land area and higher debt levels.”

Under the umbrella of efficiency, Gittens said: “While the new governance structure for the Worldwide Slot Guidelines, and the new aerodrome standards are milestones in the right direction, airport stakeholders need to increase their harmonised efforts when it comes to seamless connectivity and NEXTT can help.”

ACI and the International Air Transport Association (IATA) have been developing NEXTT, or New Experience Travel Technologies, which pulls together the work that is being done in our security, airport operations, passenger and cargo facilitation teams on biometrics, autonomous vehicles and digital transformation. 

The NEXTT vision looks at the complete ground journey for all the elements that currently move through the airport – passenger, baggage, cargo and aircraft. It seeks to ensure that stakeholders have a common direction, and that all projects benefit to maximise interoperability with others.

Addressing the protection of infrastructure, Gittens emphasised it was crucial that airports both prepared to deal with the effects of climate change on their operations while also actively working to address, reduce and mitigate the impact of airport operations on the environment.

“We know that the Asia-Pacific region is no stranger to the effects of climate change. This is a global challenge requiring a global response and ACI is taking a leadership role through the Airport Carbon Accreditation (ACA) program.”

As of August 2019, ACA boasts 282 participating airports, reaching 43.4 per cent of global traffic and 53 carbon neutral airports. 

Although the program started in Europe, which has the largest number of airports, the Asia-Pacific region has demonstrated its commitment, with 54 accredited airports representing 41.2 per cent of passenger traffic, six of which are carbon neutral.

Gittens continued: “Yet with the recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s report, the aviation industry at large is challenged to be a larger part of the solution. Our European airport community has formally committed to become net zero for carbon emissions under its control by 2050. ACI will ask the International Civil Aviation Organisation (ICAO) to develop more ambitious CO2 reduction goals to meet the objectives of the Paris Agreement.”

Addressing the third pillar, building new infrastructure, Gittens reminded delegates of the capital gap for constructing new infrastructure and proposed possible solutions to financing such large-scale projects.

“Airports’ capital needs are high: Based on a sample of 50 major economies, we’re looking at required five-year investments of US$433 billion versus US$355 billion in planned airport investment, a shortfall of US$78 billion.

“ACI does not advocate for any specific ownership structure but we have seen that private capital has been shown to be a successful means of funding infrastructure development in the face of the growing demand for air service, the value of that air service for a community’s or country’s economic vitality, and the competing needs for government funds where financial resources are lacking.”

“And economic regulation, if needed, should be proportionate to the objectives set by the government owner, including the incentives to facilitate commercial agreements between airports and their customers.”

Gittens concluded by reminding delegates of the importance of investing in workforce capacity.

“The projected expansion of the aviation sector in the region requires giving attention to the recruitment and training of the necessary talent that will run this engine. ACI continues to invest in workforce capacity through our Global Training program, which offers a host of in-class and on-line courses, many of which are in collaboration with ICAO, IATA and other institutions such as Universities. I’m pleased to report that the Asia-Pacific region has the most training centres and provides the highest number of courses.”

Government moving ahead with many FTAs

NOW that the 46th Federal parliament has resumed and commencement formalities have been completed, it is a good time to review the status of our Free Trade Agreement (FTA) agenda, along with other new initiatives aimed at facilitating trade.

FTAs to come

The negotiations for the Peru Australia FTA (PAFTA) were completed some time ago and PAFTA has gone before the Joint Standing Committee of Trade (JSCOT) on two occasions, both leading to a recommendation for binding Treaty action to be taken. 

However, there is still no clarity when the legislation implementing PAFTA will be reintroduced and passed after it lapsed with the dissolution of the 45th Federal parliament on 11 April 2019. 

Ratification of the Treaty requires the enabling legislation to be enacted. The main impediment remains the position of the Australian Labor Party, which still opposes FTAs with provisions to facilitate skilled migration without labour market testing as well as FTAs with Investor - State Dispute Settlement provisions. That opposition creates doubts on the passage of the enabling legislation in the Senate.

The Pacific Agreement on Closer Economic Relations (PACER) Plus has completed the ratification process in Australia, New Zealand and Samoa, but other signatories are still working towards their domestic ratification process.

The negotiation of the Indonesia - Australia Closer Economic Partnership Agreement (IA - CEPA) and the Australia - Hong Kong Free Trade Agreement (A - HKFTA) have both been completed. Both FTAs are currently subject to review by JSCOT. Assuming that there are recommendations from JSCOT to take binding Treaty action for both FTAs, then enabling legislation would need to be passed.  The FTAs would come into effect 60 days after the negotiating parties notify one another that all domestic ratification steps have been taken. Details of the JSCOT procedure for these FTAs can be found at  https://www.aph.gov.au/jsct

FTAs under negotiation 

Australia continues to negotiate towards a number of other FTAs, although a number are ‘on hold’ for various reasons. Those actively being negotiated are the Australia - European Union Free Trade Agreement, the Pacific Alliance Free Trade Agreement and the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP).

Of these, the RCEP has been under negotiation for the longest period, including a recent negotiating round in Melbourne. However, the proposed FTA with the EU is having the most attention in local press, mainly around the notification of the extensive numbers of ‘geographical indicators’ or ‘GIs’ which the EU is seeking to preserve to the exclusive use of EU producers. The EU has made similar claims for GIs in its negotiations for an FTA with New Zealand. DFAT is currently seeking submissions from interested parties in relation to the GIs claimed by the EU. The link to this ‘public objections’ procedure to support Australian producers using the GIs is https://dfat.gov.au/trade/agreements/negotiations/aeufta/public-objections-gis/Pages/default.aspx 

 If readers have an interest in the issue I would recommend making a submission by the closing date, otherwise a lack of submissions could lead our government to surrender a GI as part of the negotiation process.

Australia-United Kingdom FTA

Readers and those in industry will be well aware of the extensive coverage of the terms of a proposed FTA with the UK. However, those negotiations cannot formally commence until the UK has completed its Brexit, whatever form that may take. However, a Joint Trade Working Group, established in September 2016 has met several times seeking to scope out the parameters of a future FTA.

Trade facilitation

As readers would be aware, FTAs are not the only way that trade can be enhanced or facilitated. Government and the private sector work on these issues at all times, although a number of government initiatives are worth considering. Some of these are carried through from the previous government but others have only recently been established.

Government and industry continue to work together through the National Committee on Trade Facilitation (NCTF) established by Australia to comply with its obligations pursuant to the World Trade Organisation’s Trade Facilitation Agreement. This work is conducted by the new ‘Customs Group’ convened by the Department of Home Affairs (DHA) and the Australian Border Force (ABF) and includes the work of a number of NCTF ‘advisory groups’ such as the Trade Facilitation Initiatives Working Group. The NCTF is currently considering a number of facilitation options including single-window for trade and the use of blockchain to facilitate trade.

The ‘Border Permits Review’ being undertaken by the DHA and covering enhancements for goods requiring permits for import or export. Industry has been working on this Review including recommendations for creating one ‘portal’ which provides details of all permits required from any agency through an advanced search function. That would also represent the place at which all applications for permits are lodged and tracked.

The development of new data sharing and release arrangements between government agencies. This was recommended by the Productivity Commission in a 2017 report with funding provided in the 2018 - 19 Federal Budget and is led by the portfolio of Prime Minister and Cabinet. This recognises that data is a valuable national asset which needs to be handled more efficiently without compromising necessary privacy and security. Part of this initiative will give government departments and agencies a wider ability to exchange information (with appropriate protections). This could allow information provided to one border agency to be shared with other border agencies and also would facilitate a single-window for the sharing of information. 

Attempts by State governments to advance the coastal shipping agenda, most directly by the Victorian government. The States are also seeking to deal with competition issues at the ports and in the supply chain including the Port Pricing and Access Review recently announced by the Victorian government to be conducted through Freight Victoria.

Enhancing trade

For many years industry had pressed government at Federal and State levels to develop FTAs and other initiatives to enhance trade. The pace of these developments has increased and industry has been provided with a number of opportunities to engage and contribute to the process. On that basis, readers need to remain alert to developments and engage with them to secure the benefits being provided as early as possible together with assisting in the development of new benefits.

COMMENT: Hong Kong will remain a prime cargo airport 

AMID the speculation, hype, counterclaims, facts and false news of the current Hong Kong protests, a question of prime importance to the cargo and logistics sector is: Will Hong Kong International Airport survive as a great air freight port?

The short answer is ‘yes’, but the longer response revolves around investor confidence, carrier safety concerns, the availability of credible alternatives, the stance of the Chinese central government and the future governance model of the Hong Kong SAR.

Delays caused by protestors blocking airport services are only problematic in the short term and don’t in themselves threaten the longer term viability of HKIA’s cargo status, because one way or another – hopefully by peaceful resolution - the protests will end.

Until they do, the central government is in a bind.  Officials are well aware of Hong Kong’s economic importance, including the airport and marine port facilities that underpin the manufacturing might of the greater Pearl Delta region as well as the SAR itself.

But they can scarcely ignore civil unrest that could trigger demands elsewhere for local autonomy.

Their concerns include customers in the United States and Europe that might look for manufacturing alternatives for mainstay commodities such as electronic components and toys.  Some of those customers already are impacted by the US/China trade dispute.

Taiwanese investors, whose role is a mix of profit-making and political pragmatism given the PRC’s clearly-stated policy of eventually bringing Taiwan back into the fold, could sell down, with a sharp impact on HKIA - although perhaps not for long.

However, as well as trader, manufacturer and shipper angst, the financial services sector also is uneasy about the unrest.  When banks are worried, their concern can help dampen a volatile situation.  But it also can contribute to uncertainty.

HSBC, Hong Kong’s biggest bank, said in an advertisement that ‘social stability and remaining calm in the face of challenges are the cornerstones of Hong Kong’s success. Maintaining the rule of law is essential to the international financial centre that is unique to Hong Kong.’

And ‘unique’ Hong Kong definitely is, including in air cargo terms.

In the past decade, several PRC airports have evolved as important cargo portals, although only a few have any chance of becoming alternatives to Hong Kong. 

While HKIA might suffer a cargo downturn at some point, its status seems likely to be maintained.

- Kelvin King.

Silver linings a focus of Hedge report into air cargo industry

“In its June update to the World Economic Outlook, the International Monetary Fund downgraded 2019 economic growth by 0.1 per cent - to 3.2 per cent and still expects a better 2020, with 3.5 per cent growth. 

“Increasing economic growth would be a boon to an air cargo industry suffering this year’s falling demand, load factors, and yields,” says Alan Hedge, principal of  Hedge & Associates, the US-based aviation analyst. 

“The World Bank’s June Global Economic Prospects Report was less sanguine, forecasting 2019 growth of 2.6 per cent, increasing to 2.7 per cent in 2020. Meanwhile, the OECD expects the same 3.2 per cent as the IMF and 3.4 per cent in 2020.

“A number of other actions have also been taken by the two largest world markets, including a currency devaluation by China and sanctions on Chinese companies by the US,” said Hedge.

“The good news on trade seems to be that the US.and China have at least postponed the effective date of some tariffs until 15 December, providing an opportunity to hold bilateral talks to avoid further escalation of the conflict. US consumer confidence remains high despite a small dip in August due to trade war worries, unemployment remains low, and cooling housing prices hopefully signal a healthy soft landing.”

Geopolitical events

“The US may be entering the home stretch of its longest war, as peace talks with the Taliban in Afghanistan show movement,” said Hedge. “And a possible silver lining? Perhaps the UK’s looming crash out of the European Union will be a teachable moment to other countries on the fence about remaining in the bloc.”

Conversions

“Meanwhile, e-commerce growth shows little sign of slowing, as Amazon Prime Air heads toward a 70-aircraft US domestic fleet and has just recently announced a major tie up with Canada-based Cargojet.  And although 737-800 passenger aircraft feedstock for freighter conversion has been tighter than expected because of the 737 MAX grounding, prospects for the aircraft look bright. 

“It is still early days for the A320/321 conversion business, but the aircraft are showing promise. The jury remains out on the speed at which A330 freighter conversions will take off as 767 passenger feedstock becomes scarce. 

“And is a commercially viable 777 conversion program waiting in the “wings”...?

Oil prices are still lower than last year and are forecast to remain stable into 2020.

Hedge & Associates continues to refine its statistical model of air cargo demand. You can find its flash forecast of the prior month’s year-over-year traffic growth around the tenth of each month at www.hedgeandassoc.com.

Canberra progresses its cargo hub goals with a Master Plan targeting air and road freight

CANBERRA Airport is determined to be a freight hub, according to its just-issued ‘preliminary draft’ 2020 Master Plan. 

Its cargo aspirations have long been known and respected and the new plan is well reasoned.

It is available online at www.canberraairport.com.au/masterplan or readers can purchase a hard copy for A$60 from the Capital Airport Group office on the airport precinct.

The plan is mandated by mid-1990s legislation as specified in the Airports Act 1996.

The planning period to be covered is defined in section 72 as 20 years, although environmental strategy is a tighter five years.

The Canberra draft is now open for submissions from stakeholders including the air cargo sector.  These will be accepted until November 6.

ACT support

Canberra Airport’s freight aspirations are supported by the Australian Capital Territory Government, as noted in its policy document Moving Canberra 2019-45:  ‘Working in partnership with land use and planning, transport can play an integral part in supporting the emergence of industrial areas and economic hubs, such as Canberra’s international airport and its future air freight potential for the Capital region and beyond.’

The plan says: ‘Ongoing curfew restrictions at Sydney Airport are expected to deliver substantial new opportunities for airfreight at Canberra Airport over the next 10 years at least, until Western Sydney Airport is commissioned and is operating.’

Curfew-free essential

That Canberra will remain curfew-free is a ‘given’ and Canberra Airport management has openly disclosed to the community the assumed future aircraft noise impacts coming from a long-term unrestricted operation of the airport. 

It warns: ‘It is not realistic for members of the public to anticipate a curfew in years to come, or to expect it will solve their aircraft noise problem.’

Hub concept

The 2020 Master Plan envisages international, trans-Tasman and domestic freight flights landing at Canberra, exchanging freight and departing again for their final destination, with some travelling by air and some local (NSW and Victorian freight) transferred to trucks. The hub is envisaged to be possible within seven years.

It also says one trans-Tasman overnight freight operator is interested in operating services to Canberra instead of Sydney, ‘especially if a domestic freight network is established’.

Heavy freighters

‘It is expected international air freight services to Canberra will grow gradually, commencing with one airline operating two to three weekly B747-800F (or equivalent) services to and from Canberra in the next five to eight years’ it says. 

‘This number would be expected to gradually increase.’

New taxiway will be safer

WORK is under way at Canberra Airport on a taxiway extension that will provide more efficient and safer aircraft movements, reduce the amount of time planes take to taxi and replace the current taxiway that has been in place since the 1940s. 

Currently, aircraft leave the runway after landing and transfer to taxiway A, but they then must cross the main runway to reach the terminal. This often requires them to wait for other planes to land. 

When construction is complete, taxiway B will run the entire length of the main runway and eliminate the crossing via taxiway A. 

Construction will last 12-18 months, with work conducted during the day and at night after the last flight has landed. The cross runway will remain open 24 hours a day. 

INTERVIEW: Throw whatever you like at us, Hactl is prepared and ready for airfreight’s future, says Kwong

OPERATING since 1976, Hong Kong Air Cargo Terminals Limited (Hactl) supports the import, export and trans-shipment of air cargo in Hong Kong, contributing to the growth of the Chinese island’s economy.

SuperTerminal 1 is the single largest multi-level air cargo terminal in the world, boasting 3,500 container storage system positions, 10,000 box storage system positions and a  range of specialised cargo handling facilities to cater for all cargo types including temperature-controlled products, valuable goods and livestock. The facility is capable of handling up to 3.5 million tonnes of air cargo every year.

Key to  SuperTerminal 1’s  performance is COSAC-Plus, a new generation air cargo management system that enables the most efficient cargo tracking, information sharing and facilitates e-freight. 

The system is designed for all airlines, freight forwarders and related government departments to monitor and manage air cargo handled by Hactl. Every day, the system handles more than 3,500 users and over 1,000,000 data transactions.

Asia-Pacific airlines saw demand for air freight contract by 7.4 per cent in April 2019, compared to the same period in 2018. A trade war between the US and China currently impacts freight movements, resulting in falling demand in the region, where international volumes are down 8.1 per cent compared to a year ago. 

Wilson Kwong, chief executive Hactl (pictured above) spoke to Aircargo Asia-Pacific on the effects of the current impasse in trade negotiations between the two super powers and his plans for returning Hactl to growth.  

 

Hong Kong International Airport (HKIA) is focusing on cross-boundary e-commerce, high-value cargo and enhancing regional cargo services. How does this fit with Hactl’s own plans?

HKIA’s future direction is fully aligned with Hactl’s. For some years, our value-added logistics subsidiary Hacis has supported the e-commerce sector with dedicated services enhanced by its specialised IT system, plus an inland cargo depot in China (one of its nine-strong network) located in Nansha, southern Guangzhou within a dedicated e-commerce zone and, most recently, by working with postal  authorities to provide a cost-effective export gateway for mail containing electronic and other e-commerce packages. 

The decision by Cianiao to open a premium logistics centre in Hong Kong is a huge vote of confidence in the airport and its administration, and Hactl hopes to participate in this new venture as a service partner.

Meanwhile, HKIA’s recent initiative to create the world’s first IATA CEIV Fresh hub is also something we strongly support. 

Hactl was the first WHO GDP-certified handler in Hong Kong, and now is the first to certify under CEIV Pharma (for which we received our certification at the World Cargo Symposium in Singapore). 

CEIV Fresh is based totally on airline requirements and so will quickly gain critical mass in the industry. This encourages exactly the kind of uniformity in standards and processes which the industry needs in order to safeguard existing perishables and pharma traffic (the two being closely related due to similarities in their requirements) and to attract new business. The modern consumer expects year-round availability of all commodities and this presents a huge opportunity for air cargo. But we all have to meet the same high standards so that goods arrive in peak condition.

 Hong Kong is a natural location for a major regional Asian hub. It’s centrally located, has unparalleled air connections, offers choice of carrier and plentiful maindeck capacity, enjoys a modern Customs regime and is bi-lingual. With the opening of the three runway system, we will also have unrestricted capacity for growth.

Chinese air hubs face pressure from challenges brought by the rise of cross-border e-commerce. How has this impacted Hactl?

As mentioned earlier, Hacis is working closely with postal authorities to provide a fast and efficient export route for e-commerce cargo. It currently handles some 3,000 mail bags daily. New contracts under discussion will add to this traffic. Again, the spread of destinations served, the choice of carrier, the frequencies, the maindeck capacity and the trade-supportive Customs regime all favour Hong Kong and Hactl. I believe we will increasingly be seen as China’s e-commerce gateway – just as we have been seen as China’s global cargo gateway over several decades.

Asia-Pacific airlines saw demand for air freight contract by 7.4 per cent in April 2019 compared to the same period in 2018. How is the current China-USA trade spat affecting Hactl’s growth targets?

The current friction over trade between China and the USA has certainly had an impact at Hactl, but it is far less than we initially feared – around five per cent down year to date. This is actually better than the local market as a whole, and we attribute this result to our proactive measures to increase traffic in the pharma, fresh and e-commerce sectors, which have cushioned us. Longer term, we believe the disputes will be resolved, and that organic growth alone will mitigate any lasting impacts.

Do you plan initiatives to counter a general trade downturn globally?

Global trade never rises in a long, straight line: It’s a series of peaks and troughs which materialise in air cargo traffic globally. We take the long term view that global trade will always increase and that, with our 100-strong airline portfolio’s global coverage, we will enjoy growth whenever and wherever it occurs. 

But, rather than taking for granted natural organic growth, we continue to partner with our airline customers to strengthen and broaden their service offerings. 

And, behind the scenes, we continue to invest and innovate in order to create the highest possible service standards. We are deeply invested in our customers: We can only be successful if they are. The scope and quality of Hactl services becomes a strong sales tool for them. This is our constant motivation.

AI and technology have revolutionised the way air freight is being handled today. What progress has Hactl made with technology?

Hactl has always believed in the need to employ the latest and best technology. We have a proud 43-year history of innovation -  including designing, building and constantly improving our own IT systems (COSAC-Plus is the third iteration of our self-developed community cargo management system) using in-house resources. 

We already employ AI to deal with repetitive, labour-intensive processing such as charter job management and invoicing, and to add security to our mission-critical IT systems by constant monitoring for cyber threats. There are additional potential applications for AI which we are currently evaluating.

 Our engagement with innovation is driven by our Performance Enhancement team, whose sole task is to uncover areas for improvement in our processes, working methods and infrastructure. Their biggest success so far has been the switch to mobile computing throughout our giant facility, which has revolutionised our business. More recently, they devised the Smart Cargo Locating system which combines RFID and GPS technology to streamline the task of racking and retrieving outsize loose cargo – which has a direct positive impact on performance during ULD build-up.

 We continue to invest in innovation. Hactl is ahead of the game, and we want to stay that way!

Perishable goods is a growing market for air cargo. Ensuring short-shelf life products reach the customer unspoiled with minimal waste and loss is essential. How do Hactl’s facilities stack up?

Through initial and ongoing investment, Hactl’s facilities and processes have always been the best available. This begins with a large, purpose-built, multi-zone temperature controlled facility that includes thermal dollies for temperature conservation in transit on the apron. What has changed in recent times is our certification, first under GDP and subsequently under CEIV Pharma and CEIV Fresh. 

This required relatively little work or adaptation, because of our already-advanced status - but it meant we now comply with a standard recognised and accepted by all airlines. 

As the rest of the industry moves to adopt the same standard, it will achieve the end-to-end uniformity, conformity and consistency that all pharma and fresh supply chains demand. This will consolidate our industry’s position and nurture further growth in our markets that will benefit all players.

Hactl has a strong safety record in place. What initiatives are in place to promote this focus?

Hactl has worked hard for many years to create a safe and comfortable working environment for its workforce: We believe that is the staff’s right, and our duty. Awareness and practising safe working procedures is paramount, and is an inherent part of our intensive in-house training program. To reinforce this, we hold two events each year designed to drive home the need for constant vigilance: Our International Forklift Truck Driving and Pallet Building competition (to which we also invite our customers as participants), and our annual Safety Week – which brings together an intensive program of events, presentations and activities that are designed to raise safety awareness among our 2400 staff. Yet again, it’s a significant investment – but one we support wholeheartedly. Our staff are our most valuable asset and we do everything possible to protect them.

Any expansion plans to tackle increased  competition?

Competition in Hong Kong is strong, but it’s also a motivator to be better – and it holds no fears for Hactl. Last year, Hactl once again renewed its handling concession for a further 10 years because we are here to stay. 

Yes, we have many plans to expand our business and our resources, but we are not at liberty to divulge these at present.

Is cybersecurity a problem for facilities like Hactl?

 Hactl is a mission-critical business for Hong Kong. If it ceased to function, even for a few hours, it would bring the airport to a standstill. That’s why we take even the remotest risk of cyber attacks extremely seriously. All our systems have been re-written using the latest IT architecture and run on state-of-the-art equipment, which provides greatly-enhanced security. But we also employ AI to provide an early-warning system for any suspicious activity. That, with parallel redundant IT infrastructure, robust procedures and the best possible housekeeping ensure that Hactl and its customers remain secure from any attack.

Does Hactl see any threat to future  growth by deliveries from drones operating from off-airport sites?

 Drone technology is fascinating, and there is a place for it in the logistics industry. But its current nature and limitations favour small payloads over relatively short distances – so it is unlikely to make visible inroads into the mainstream global air cargo industry, at least for the foreseeable future.

 

Time of opportunity for world trade system despite issues with USA-China and UK- EU

REFORM of the World Trade Organization www.wto.org – called for by leaders of the G20 (Australia among them) and many others – is vital to the well-being of global trade and thus to the freight and logistics sector.  Without such an overhaul, the ageing system will fail to meet current and future requirements.

Speaking recently to the AIG Global Forum in Rotterdam, WTO deputy director-general Alan Wolff referred to the current situation as a time of ‘stress’ for the trading system, providing the opportunity to adapt to current realities and prepare for future challenges.

Reform would require perseverance and leadership, he said, not just from the largest trading countries but from all WTO members.

AIG www.aig.com is a major global insurance organisation serving more than 70 million clients.  With a far-reaching intelligence service and contacts at high economic and government levels, AIG is renowned for its ability to generate useful international discussions, including the AIG Global Forum.

“Were it not for the multilateral trading system, it is highly unlikely that the record of growth in trade and the global economy would be anything like the astoundingly positive numbers that have been achieved to date,” said Wolff.

“Tariffs would be a lot higher, import quotas would be common, discrimination would be rampant, product standards would choke trade and every dispute could risk retaliation and counter-retaliation. 

“Without the multilateral trading system, bilateral and regional arrangements could have created a miasma of regional content requirements that could make goods crossing a border a nightmare.” 

What has been created since the WTO was formed in 1995 (a 1947 attempt at forming such an international trade organisation failed) was of enormous value, Wolff observed.

“Nevertheless, there is an increasingly negative feeling about trade in many quarters.   Few know how important the multilateral trading system is to them, and many who are aware of the WTO’s existence tend to focus on its deficiencies, not on its accomplishments. 

“That can be useful, to an extent, because complacency would be more of a danger to the world trading system than well-founded criticism.  But there is one major caution: Progress is not likely to be born out of ennui or despair.  The times call for both increased leadership and strenuous co-operative efforts.”

There have been a series of danger signals that should have served as wake-up calls, Wolff claimed. These included the pre-emptive US withdrawal from the TPPA and the current exchange of tariff salvos between the US and China.

“On top of all of these concerns, it is still unclear what the width of the English Channel is going to be after Brexit and the degree of openness of what is now largely an invisible Irish border is still unsettled.”

Among the other major factors at play, he noted, was the possibility that the two-year moratorium on levying Customs duties on electronic transmissions might not be renewed.

“In the modern world of e-commerce, the levying of Customs duties on the content of cross border data flows could be catastrophic. 

“Policy space for national governments means the absence of coverage by international agreement, which while healthy in many respects, can in certain instances be deadly for the world economy.”

A separate Australian response to today’s global trade impasse?

Those in industry (let alone anyone with an interest in world news) will be painfully aware that global trade is under massive pressure at the moment. Examples of threats are everywhere and if they come to pass, the consequences will be uniformly bad. 

Trade and global integration have been a driver of financial and social improvement, with the World Bank estimating more than a billion people have been lifted out of poverty over the past 25 years.

The ongoing political and trade battle between the US and China (and between the US and Mexico and Canada) fills the front pages of newspapers and stories on television thanks to the significant increases in tariffs by the US and threats to escalate those tariffs and other protective measures. China has threatened to retaliate in similar terms. The inability to complete a multilateral trade deal at the WTO together with the inability to resolve the disagreements between the US and the rest of the world on the appellate division of the WTO or the shape of any rules - based platform to resolve international trade disputes have left massive uncertainty for future plans. 

The ongoing Brexit fiasco contributes to that uncertainty as we come closer to the current deadline of 31 October 2019 to complete an organised UK departure from the EU. 

The WTO has already noted the adverse impact on world GDP and other costs with one view being that we are being shielded from the real drop in GDP as parties bring forward their business activities in fear that they will be more grievously injured once the ‘wheels really fall off’ and the looming war kicks into a higher gear with real restrictions being imposed if the impasse on reform at the WTO is not resolved. Problems with cooperation at the WTO and its dispute resolution system would be a modern tragedy as it has until now been very successful in a number of ways, encouraging reductions in tariffs, improvements in trade integration and the creation of a number of valuable plurilateral agreements. There seems to be general agreement that some reform is useful but the demands for significant change on a unilateral basis from the US (to serve US ends) could be seen as an attempt to move away from the rule of law to the rule of force. Sensible global reform and improvement to advance the global cause would be the preferred outcome.

On a parochial basis, these developments are creating real and immediate concerns for Australia. In more recent time, following decades of protectionist policies, Australia has been at the forefront of trade liberalisation, including early unilateral reductions in tariffs and protection for certain ‘sheltered’ industries. This has led to the country’s average tariff now being close to zero as it secured increased global trade integration. Australia is working extensively on bilateral and plurilateral Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) and is working through the WTO and elsewhere to develop other trade initiatives. It is also collaborating with other like -minded major trading partners to develop plans to reform and maintain the WTO and all of its operations including facilitating trade enhancement and providing a basis for resolution of trade disputes.

Some despair

Despite its existing work, some have despaired that Australia, acting alone, cannot influence the global agenda and can do little to maintain its economic security, let alone continue its growth.  The question of unilateral Australian action has recently been addressed by the Productivity Commission with the publication of its Trade and Assistance Review 2017 - 18 (Review) the most recent of its annual reviews including a chapter entitled ‘The future of the world trading system’ as its ‘Theme Chapter’ to the Review.

The Commission has long been a source of valuable research and recommendation in economic matters including in relation to trade. In an earlier report it questioned the real value of its FTAs citing no real significant gains from those FTAs. In earlier editions of the Review it had called for unilateral reductions in tariffs to zero, the reduction in other industry support and removal (or revision) of Australia’s anti - dumping regime due to the recognition that dumping and subsidies could actually deliver an advantage to the economy far in excess of the damage to Australian industry. This included a separate proposal for a ‘national Interest’ test to assess whether trade remedies measures were actually in the broader national interest as opposed to merely looking at injury to local industries affected by the dumping or subsidy.

The Review was released on June 12, 2019, with a lead message confirming that global trade is under its greatest threat since World War II. It includes a series of recommendations on economic and trade issues, as well as social issues although my focus is on economic and trade issues, only some of which are discussed below.

Consequences of a trade war

The Commission observed that even though Australia is not directly engaged with the majority of the main trade issues, it would be directly affected by the consequences of a trade war - and would also be directly affected if that war was averted between the US and China (and maybe the EU) through a series of massive trade deals which would divert trade away from Australia. 

Further, even though Australia has been portrayed as a proponent and leading party in liberalising trade, the Commission found that Australia “has continued to retreat into protectionism in some areas” through A$14.4 billion in annual assistance to industries that lowered its international competitiveness. The Commission further found that “we damage our own prosperity by maintaining nuisance tariffs, other trade restrictions and one of the most active anti -dumping regimes in the world”.  According to the Commission, manufacturing and primary production receive 28 per cent of assistance while contributing nine per cent of value added to the Australian economy. 

In the context of the primary production industry it found that government support through droughts often undermined the incentives to farmers to manage their own risks and were ineffective in supporting sustainable farming practices. It said that a new drought policy and a review of subsidies was warranted.

Although there were a number of recommendations in the Review, some which were consistent to previous recommendations were that Australia should dismantle its anti-dumping regime and unilaterally remove its one-to-five per cent tariffs, which the Commission described as ‘nuisance’ measures only delivering A$2 billion a year but requiring a massive support network to be levied and recovered.

Those particular recommendations were of no great surprise as they echoed earlier recommendations by the Commission. They had previously been rejected and there seems little prospect that they will now be accepted either in political or commercial circles.  The recommendations draw from the Commission’s own form of economic assessment which may not include consideration of wider policy issues.  It is not surprising that some responses were that the current policy settings were there for good reason in accordance with international agreements, policies and standards so that movement would need to be driven by other factors (for example, the offer of reducing tariffs on European vehicles as part of negotiations with the EU for an FTA). 

However, in my view, the recommendations of the Commission warrant very close attention together with considering how there could be a ‘second best’ reform which includes keeping the existing regimes but improving how they operate so that they are not seen as protectionist or inefficient.

Consistent with its position on the importance of an open global economy, the Commission was also strong in its recommendations to support the WTO and to take all possible steps to achieve position outcomes from the current tensions.

One ray of light from the Review was an apparent slight thaw in the position of the Commission regarding FTAs. In an earlier report, the Commission questioned the value of the FTAs (from a pure economic perspective). However the Review includes a recommendation for better outreach and engagement on the benefits and use of FTAs seeking to overcome general lack of knowledge or negativity regarding FTAs - which suggests a view that there are merits in FTAs after all.

The Review and its recommendations provide excellent hard data on current trade issues and propose changes which, even if not accepted in full, form the vital basis for work to improve on current economic and social policies.

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Freight and logistics hub for Adelaide Airport East Precinct

AUSTRALIA’s Adelaide Airport has released its 2019 Preliminary Draft Master Plan, highlighting plans for growth, jobs creation and sustainable economic development over the next 20 years. 

The airport has grown significantly as a major economic and employment generator in South Australia and this growth is expected to continue over the next two decades. 

Since 2014, passenger numbers have increased by one million to 8.5 million, airport-related jobs have grown by 5,000 to 22,800 and the airport’s contribution to  Gross State Product has been boosted by more than A$1 billion to A$2.98 billion, representing 3.1 per cent of the State’s economic growth. 

Over the next 20 years, forecasts indicate passenger numbers will grow to 19.8 million – including 3.3 million international travellers – while air freight will almost triple from 58,500 tonnes to 146,000 tonnes. 

Infrastructure projects expected to be under way or completed over the next five years include domestic and international terminal expansion (this currently is under construction) and a freight and logistics hub in the Airport East Precinct to the south of the main runway with dedicated access via Richmond Road. 

Mark Young, managing director Adelaide Airport said a lot had been achieved in the past five years. 

“Adelaide Airport remains one of the fastest-growing domestic and international airports in Australia, and since 2014 we’ve attracted major new airlines including Qatar Airways and China Southern,” said Young. 

“We’ve also built the new Atura Hotel, commenced a major terminal expansion project, and attracted major companies to our precinct such as OZ Minerals, Australian Clinical Labs, Otis, Kennards Self Storage, Aldi and AFL Max. 

“The growth of Adelaide Airport is inextricably linked with the development of South Australia. We play an essential role in the economic prosperity and development of the State through creating jobs and supporting business, tourism and leisure activities. 

“We are planning and building appropriate levels of infrastructure to stay ahead of this growth and maintain our reputation as one of Australia’s most modern airports. 

“The Master Plan is one of our most important documents in that it is our primary planning tool for the next eight years, while presenting our long-term strategic plans until 2039. 

“Looking forward, we see the completion of the terminal expansion project in 2021 and the creation of a freight and logistics hub in our Airport East Precinct as important goals for our business. 

“Adelaide Airport’s proximity to the city and its suburbs also means that careful planning and consultation is required to ensure that the aviation considerations of the airport are protected, while also ensuring that operational requirements are balanced with the community’s needs.” 

Mr Young said innovation and technology would play a key role in airport development over the next eight years. 

“The Adelaide Airport of tomorrow will feature new technologies and processes that make the customer experience faster, easier and more intuitive,” he said. 

“Future technologies potentially include smart phone wayfinding for the entire journey ‘from home to aircraft’, permanent bag tags built into luggage, decentralised bag drops such as at your hotel, and combined security and emigration walk-through screening using biometrics. 

“At the same time, the safety and security of all airport users is paramount, and our facilities are constantly evolving based on regulatory outcomes.” 

 Young said the Master Plan was just one part of Adelaide Airport’s ongoing consultation with the community, with regular stakeholder consultative committees and community updates just two of the ways the airport reached out to the local community. 

The Adelaide Airport 2019 Preliminary Draft Master Plan (PDMP) is on public display until October 28, 2019.

‘A three pillars’ approach needed to boost APAC capacity - Gittens

Airports Council International (ACI) World has called for improved coordination among industry stakeholders to increase capacity in the Asia-Pacific region, home to some of the fastest-growing economies and aviation markets.

Speaking at the recent 56th Conference of Directors General of Civil Aviation, Asia and Pacific Region, ACI director general Angela Gittens addressed the three necessary pillars of improving capacity: Using what we have efficiently, protecting the use of what we have and developing more when necessary.

“We need to ensure that aviation continues to generate socio-economic benefits to communities and countries, many of which are small island developing states (SIDS) challenged by small population, limited human capital, confined land area and higher debt levels.”

Under the umbrella of efficiency, Gittens said: “While the new governance structure for the Worldwide Slot Guidelines, and the new aerodrome standards are milestones in the right direction, airport stakeholders need to increase their harmonised efforts when it comes to seamless connectivity and NEXTT can help.”

ACI and the International Air Transport Association (IATA) have been developing NEXTT, or New Experience Travel Technologies, which pulls together the work that is being done in our security, airport operations, passenger and cargo facilitation teams on biometrics, autonomous vehicles and digital transformation. 

The NEXTT vision looks at the complete ground journey for all the elements that currently move through the airport – passenger, baggage, cargo and aircraft. It seeks to ensure that stakeholders have a common direction, and that all projects benefit to maximise interoperability with others.

Addressing the protection of infrastructure, Gittens emphasised it was crucial that airports both prepared to deal with the effects of climate change on their operations while also actively working to address, reduce and mitigate the impact of airport operations on the environment.

“We know that the Asia-Pacific region is no stranger to the effects of climate change. This is a global challenge requiring a global response and ACI is taking a leadership role through the Airport Carbon Accreditation (ACA) program.”

As of August 2019, ACA boasts 282 participating airports, reaching 43.4 per cent of global traffic and 53 carbon neutral airports. 

Although the program started in Europe, which has the largest number of airports, the Asia-Pacific region has demonstrated its commitment, with 54 accredited airports representing 41.2 per cent of passenger traffic, six of which are carbon neutral.

Gittens continued: “Yet with the recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s report, the aviation industry at large is challenged to be a larger part of the solution. Our European airport community has formally committed to become net zero for carbon emissions under its control by 2050. ACI will ask the International Civil Aviation Organisation (ICAO) to develop more ambitious CO2 reduction goals to meet the objectives of the Paris Agreement.”

Addressing the third pillar, building new infrastructure, Gittens reminded delegates of the capital gap for constructing new infrastructure and proposed possible solutions to financing such large-scale projects.

“Airports’ capital needs are high: Based on a sample of 50 major economies, we’re looking at required five-year investments of US$433 billion versus US$355 billion in planned airport investment, a shortfall of US$78 billion.

“ACI does not advocate for any specific ownership structure but we have seen that private capital has been shown to be a successful means of funding infrastructure development in the face of the growing demand for air service, the value of that air service for a community’s or country’s economic vitality, and the competing needs for government funds where financial resources are lacking.”

“And economic regulation, if needed, should be proportionate to the objectives set by the government owner, including the incentives to facilitate commercial agreements between airports and their customers.”

Gittens concluded by reminding delegates of the importance of investing in workforce capacity.

“The projected expansion of the aviation sector in the region requires giving attention to the recruitment and training of the necessary talent that will run this engine. ACI continues to invest in workforce capacity through our Global Training program, which offers a host of in-class and on-line courses, many of which are in collaboration with ICAO, IATA and other institutions such as Universities. I’m pleased to report that the Asia-Pacific region has the most training centres and provides the highest number of courses.”

Government moving ahead with many FTAs

NOW that the 46th Federal parliament has resumed and commencement formalities have been completed, it is a good time to review the status of our Free Trade Agreement (FTA) agenda, along with other new initiatives aimed at facilitating trade.

FTAs to come

The negotiations for the Peru Australia FTA (PAFTA) were completed some time ago and PAFTA has gone before the Joint Standing Committee of Trade (JSCOT) on two occasions, both leading to a recommendation for binding Treaty action to be taken. 

However, there is still no clarity when the legislation implementing PAFTA will be reintroduced and passed after it lapsed with the dissolution of the 45th Federal parliament on 11 April 2019. 

Ratification of the Treaty requires the enabling legislation to be enacted. The main impediment remains the position of the Australian Labor Party, which still opposes FTAs with provisions to facilitate skilled migration without labour market testing as well as FTAs with Investor - State Dispute Settlement provisions. That opposition creates doubts on the passage of the enabling legislation in the Senate.

The Pacific Agreement on Closer Economic Relations (PACER) Plus has completed the ratification process in Australia, New Zealand and Samoa, but other signatories are still working towards their domestic ratification process.

The negotiation of the Indonesia - Australia Closer Economic Partnership Agreement (IA - CEPA) and the Australia - Hong Kong Free Trade Agreement (A - HKFTA) have both been completed. Both FTAs are currently subject to review by JSCOT. Assuming that there are recommendations from JSCOT to take binding Treaty action for both FTAs, then enabling legislation would need to be passed.  The FTAs would come into effect 60 days after the negotiating parties notify one another that all domestic ratification steps have been taken. Details of the JSCOT procedure for these FTAs can be found at  https://www.aph.gov.au/jsct

FTAs under negotiation 

Australia continues to negotiate towards a number of other FTAs, although a number are ‘on hold’ for various reasons. Those actively being negotiated are the Australia - European Union Free Trade Agreement, the Pacific Alliance Free Trade Agreement and the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP).

Of these, the RCEP has been under negotiation for the longest period, including a recent negotiating round in Melbourne. However, the proposed FTA with the EU is having the most attention in local press, mainly around the notification of the extensive numbers of ‘geographical indicators’ or ‘GIs’ which the EU is seeking to preserve to the exclusive use of EU producers. The EU has made similar claims for GIs in its negotiations for an FTA with New Zealand. DFAT is currently seeking submissions from interested parties in relation to the GIs claimed by the EU. The link to this ‘public objections’ procedure to support Australian producers using the GIs is https://dfat.gov.au/trade/agreements/negotiations/aeufta/public-objections-gis/Pages/default.aspx 

 If readers have an interest in the issue I would recommend making a submission by the closing date, otherwise a lack of submissions could lead our government to surrender a GI as part of the negotiation process.

Australia-United Kingdom FTA

Readers and those in industry will be well aware of the extensive coverage of the terms of a proposed FTA with the UK. However, those negotiations cannot formally commence until the UK has completed its Brexit, whatever form that may take. However, a Joint Trade Working Group, established in September 2016 has met several times seeking to scope out the parameters of a future FTA.

Trade facilitation

As readers would be aware, FTAs are not the only way that trade can be enhanced or facilitated. Government and the private sector work on these issues at all times, although a number of government initiatives are worth considering. Some of these are carried through from the previous government but others have only recently been established.

Government and industry continue to work together through the National Committee on Trade Facilitation (NCTF) established by Australia to comply with its obligations pursuant to the World Trade Organisation’s Trade Facilitation Agreement. This work is conducted by the new ‘Customs Group’ convened by the Department of Home Affairs (DHA) and the Australian Border Force (ABF) and includes the work of a number of NCTF ‘advisory groups’ such as the Trade Facilitation Initiatives Working Group. The NCTF is currently considering a number of facilitation options including single-window for trade and the use of blockchain to facilitate trade.

The ‘Border Permits Review’ being undertaken by the DHA and covering enhancements for goods requiring permits for import or export. Industry has been working on this Review including recommendations for creating one ‘portal’ which provides details of all permits required from any agency through an advanced search function. That would also represent the place at which all applications for permits are lodged and tracked.

The development of new data sharing and release arrangements between government agencies. This was recommended by the Productivity Commission in a 2017 report with funding provided in the 2018 - 19 Federal Budget and is led by the portfolio of Prime Minister and Cabinet. This recognises that data is a valuable national asset which needs to be handled more efficiently without compromising necessary privacy and security. Part of this initiative will give government departments and agencies a wider ability to exchange information (with appropriate protections). This could allow information provided to one border agency to be shared with other border agencies and also would facilitate a single-window for the sharing of information. 

Attempts by State governments to advance the coastal shipping agenda, most directly by the Victorian government. The States are also seeking to deal with competition issues at the ports and in the supply chain including the Port Pricing and Access Review recently announced by the Victorian government to be conducted through Freight Victoria.

Enhancing trade

For many years industry had pressed government at Federal and State levels to develop FTAs and other initiatives to enhance trade. The pace of these developments has increased and industry has been provided with a number of opportunities to engage and contribute to the process. On that basis, readers need to remain alert to developments and engage with them to secure the benefits being provided as early as possible together with assisting in the development of new benefits.

COMMENT: Hong Kong will remain a prime cargo airport 

AMID the speculation, hype, counterclaims, facts and false news of the current Hong Kong protests, a question of prime importance to the cargo and logistics sector is: Will Hong Kong International Airport survive as a great air freight port?

The short answer is ‘yes’, but the longer response revolves around investor confidence, carrier safety concerns, the availability of credible alternatives, the stance of the Chinese central government and the future governance model of the Hong Kong SAR.

Delays caused by protestors blocking airport services are only problematic in the short term and don’t in themselves threaten the longer term viability of HKIA’s cargo status, because one way or another – hopefully by peaceful resolution - the protests will end.

Until they do, the central government is in a bind.  Officials are well aware of Hong Kong’s economic importance, including the airport and marine port facilities that underpin the manufacturing might of the greater Pearl Delta region as well as the SAR itself.

But they can scarcely ignore civil unrest that could trigger demands elsewhere for local autonomy.

Their concerns include customers in the United States and Europe that might look for manufacturing alternatives for mainstay commodities such as electronic components and toys.  Some of those customers already are impacted by the US/China trade dispute.

Taiwanese investors, whose role is a mix of profit-making and political pragmatism given the PRC’s clearly-stated policy of eventually bringing Taiwan back into the fold, could sell down, with a sharp impact on HKIA - although perhaps not for long.

However, as well as trader, manufacturer and shipper angst, the financial services sector also is uneasy about the unrest.  When banks are worried, their concern can help dampen a volatile situation.  But it also can contribute to uncertainty.

HSBC, Hong Kong’s biggest bank, said in an advertisement that ‘social stability and remaining calm in the face of challenges are the cornerstones of Hong Kong’s success. Maintaining the rule of law is essential to the international financial centre that is unique to Hong Kong.’

And ‘unique’ Hong Kong definitely is, including in air cargo terms.

In the past decade, several PRC airports have evolved as important cargo portals, although only a few have any chance of becoming alternatives to Hong Kong. 

While HKIA might suffer a cargo downturn at some point, its status seems likely to be maintained.

- Kelvin King.

Silver linings a focus of Hedge report into air cargo industry

“In its June update to the World Economic Outlook, the International Monetary Fund downgraded 2019 economic growth by 0.1 per cent - to 3.2 per cent and still expects a better 2020, with 3.5 per cent growth. 

“Increasing economic growth would be a boon to an air cargo industry suffering this year’s falling demand, load factors, and yields,” says Alan Hedge, principal of  Hedge & Associates, the US-based aviation analyst. 

“The World Bank’s June Global Economic Prospects Report was less sanguine, forecasting 2019 growth of 2.6 per cent, increasing to 2.7 per cent in 2020. Meanwhile, the OECD expects the same 3.2 per cent as the IMF and 3.4 per cent in 2020.

“A number of other actions have also been taken by the two largest world markets, including a currency devaluation by China and sanctions on Chinese companies by the US,” said Hedge.

“The good news on trade seems to be that the US.and China have at least postponed the effective date of some tariffs until 15 December, providing an opportunity to hold bilateral talks to avoid further escalation of the conflict. US consumer confidence remains high despite a small dip in August due to trade war worries, unemployment remains low, and cooling housing prices hopefully signal a healthy soft landing.”

Geopolitical events

“The US may be entering the home stretch of its longest war, as peace talks with the Taliban in Afghanistan show movement,” said Hedge. “And a possible silver lining? Perhaps the UK’s looming crash out of the European Union will be a teachable moment to other countries on the fence about remaining in the bloc.”

Conversions

“Meanwhile, e-commerce growth shows little sign of slowing, as Amazon Prime Air heads toward a 70-aircraft US domestic fleet and has just recently announced a major tie up with Canada-based Cargojet.  And although 737-800 passenger aircraft feedstock for freighter conversion has been tighter than expected because of the 737 MAX grounding, prospects for the aircraft look bright. 

“It is still early days for the A320/321 conversion business, but the aircraft are showing promise. The jury remains out on the speed at which A330 freighter conversions will take off as 767 passenger feedstock becomes scarce. 

“And is a commercially viable 777 conversion program waiting in the “wings”...?

Oil prices are still lower than last year and are forecast to remain stable into 2020.

Hedge & Associates continues to refine its statistical model of air cargo demand. You can find its flash forecast of the prior month’s year-over-year traffic growth around the tenth of each month at www.hedgeandassoc.com.

Canberra progresses its cargo hub goals with a Master Plan targeting air and road freight

CANBERRA Airport is determined to be a freight hub, according to its just-issued ‘preliminary draft’ 2020 Master Plan. 

Its cargo aspirations have long been known and respected and the new plan is well reasoned.

It is available online at www.canberraairport.com.au/masterplan or readers can purchase a hard copy for A$60 from the Capital Airport Group office on the airport precinct.

The plan is mandated by mid-1990s legislation as specified in the Airports Act 1996.

The planning period to be covered is defined in section 72 as 20 years, although environmental strategy is a tighter five years.

The Canberra draft is now open for submissions from stakeholders including the air cargo sector.  These will be accepted until November 6.

ACT support

Canberra Airport’s freight aspirations are supported by the Australian Capital Territory Government, as noted in its policy document Moving Canberra 2019-45:  ‘Working in partnership with land use and planning, transport can play an integral part in supporting the emergence of industrial areas and economic hubs, such as Canberra’s international airport and its future air freight potential for the Capital region and beyond.’

The plan says: ‘Ongoing curfew restrictions at Sydney Airport are expected to deliver substantial new opportunities for airfreight at Canberra Airport over the next 10 years at least, until Western Sydney Airport is commissioned and is operating.’

Curfew-free essential

That Canberra will remain curfew-free is a ‘given’ and Canberra Airport management has openly disclosed to the community the assumed future aircraft noise impacts coming from a long-term unrestricted operation of the airport. 

It warns: ‘It is not realistic for members of the public to anticipate a curfew in years to come, or to expect it will solve their aircraft noise problem.’

Hub concept

The 2020 Master Plan envisages international, trans-Tasman and domestic freight flights landing at Canberra, exchanging freight and departing again for their final destination, with some travelling by air and some local (NSW and Victorian freight) transferred to trucks. The hub is envisaged to be possible within seven years.

It also says one trans-Tasman overnight freight operator is interested in operating services to Canberra instead of Sydney, ‘especially if a domestic freight network is established’.

Heavy freighters

‘It is expected international air freight services to Canberra will grow gradually, commencing with one airline operating two to three weekly B747-800F (or equivalent) services to and from Canberra in the next five to eight years’ it says. 

‘This number would be expected to gradually increase.’

New taxiway will be safer

WORK is under way at Canberra Airport on a taxiway extension that will provide more efficient and safer aircraft movements, reduce the amount of time planes take to taxi and replace the current taxiway that has been in place since the 1940s. 

Currently, aircraft leave the runway after landing and transfer to taxiway A, but they then must cross the main runway to reach the terminal. This often requires them to wait for other planes to land. 

When construction is complete, taxiway B will run the entire length of the main runway and eliminate the crossing via taxiway A. 

Construction will last 12-18 months, with work conducted during the day and at night after the last flight has landed. The cross runway will remain open 24 hours a day. 

INTERVIEW: Throw whatever you like at us, Hactl is prepared and ready for airfreight’s future, says Kwong

OPERATING since 1976, Hong Kong Air Cargo Terminals Limited (Hactl) supports the import, export and trans-shipment of air cargo in Hong Kong, contributing to the growth of the Chinese island’s economy.

SuperTerminal 1 is the single largest multi-level air cargo terminal in the world, boasting 3,500 container storage system positions, 10,000 box storage system positions and a  range of specialised cargo handling facilities to cater for all cargo types including temperature-controlled products, valuable goods and livestock. The facility is capable of handling up to 3.5 million tonnes of air cargo every year.

Key to  SuperTerminal 1’s  performance is COSAC-Plus, a new generation air cargo management system that enables the most efficient cargo tracking, information sharing and facilitates e-freight. 

The system is designed for all airlines, freight forwarders and related government departments to monitor and manage air cargo handled by Hactl. Every day, the system handles more than 3,500 users and over 1,000,000 data transactions.

Asia-Pacific airlines saw demand for air freight contract by 7.4 per cent in April 2019, compared to the same period in 2018. A trade war between the US and China currently impacts freight movements, resulting in falling demand in the region, where international volumes are down 8.1 per cent compared to a year ago. 

Wilson Kwong, chief executive Hactl (pictured above) spoke to Aircargo Asia-Pacific on the effects of the current impasse in trade negotiations between the two super powers and his plans for returning Hactl to growth.  

 

Hong Kong International Airport (HKIA) is focusing on cross-boundary e-commerce, high-value cargo and enhancing regional cargo services. How does this fit with Hactl’s own plans?

HKIA’s future direction is fully aligned with Hactl’s. For some years, our value-added logistics subsidiary Hacis has supported the e-commerce sector with dedicated services enhanced by its specialised IT system, plus an inland cargo depot in China (one of its nine-strong network) located in Nansha, southern Guangzhou within a dedicated e-commerce zone and, most recently, by working with postal  authorities to provide a cost-effective export gateway for mail containing electronic and other e-commerce packages. 

The decision by Cianiao to open a premium logistics centre in Hong Kong is a huge vote of confidence in the airport and its administration, and Hactl hopes to participate in this new venture as a service partner.

Meanwhile, HKIA’s recent initiative to create the world’s first IATA CEIV Fresh hub is also something we strongly support. 

Hactl was the first WHO GDP-certified handler in Hong Kong, and now is the first to certify under CEIV Pharma (for which we received our certification at the World Cargo Symposium in Singapore). 

CEIV Fresh is based totally on airline requirements and so will quickly gain critical mass in the industry. This encourages exactly the kind of uniformity in standards and processes which the industry needs in order to safeguard existing perishables and pharma traffic (the two being closely related due to similarities in their requirements) and to attract new business. The modern consumer expects year-round availability of all commodities and this presents a huge opportunity for air cargo. But we all have to meet the same high standards so that goods arrive in peak condition.

 Hong Kong is a natural location for a major regional Asian hub. It’s centrally located, has unparalleled air connections, offers choice of carrier and plentiful maindeck capacity, enjoys a modern Customs regime and is bi-lingual. With the opening of the three runway system, we will also have unrestricted capacity for growth.

Chinese air hubs face pressure from challenges brought by the rise of cross-border e-commerce. How has this impacted Hactl?

As mentioned earlier, Hacis is working closely with postal authorities to provide a fast and efficient export route for e-commerce cargo. It currently handles some 3,000 mail bags daily. New contracts under discussion will add to this traffic. Again, the spread of destinations served, the choice of carrier, the frequencies, the maindeck capacity and the trade-supportive Customs regime all favour Hong Kong and Hactl. I believe we will increasingly be seen as China’s e-commerce gateway – just as we have been seen as China’s global cargo gateway over several decades.

Asia-Pacific airlines saw demand for air freight contract by 7.4 per cent in April 2019 compared to the same period in 2018. How is the current China-USA trade spat affecting Hactl’s growth targets?

The current friction over trade between China and the USA has certainly had an impact at Hactl, but it is far less than we initially feared – around five per cent down year to date. This is actually better than the local market as a whole, and we attribute this result to our proactive measures to increase traffic in the pharma, fresh and e-commerce sectors, which have cushioned us. Longer term, we believe the disputes will be resolved, and that organic growth alone will mitigate any lasting impacts.

Do you plan initiatives to counter a general trade downturn globally?

Global trade never rises in a long, straight line: It’s a series of peaks and troughs which materialise in air cargo traffic globally. We take the long term view that global trade will always increase and that, with our 100-strong airline portfolio’s global coverage, we will enjoy growth whenever and wherever it occurs. 

But, rather than taking for granted natural organic growth, we continue to partner with our airline customers to strengthen and broaden their service offerings. 

And, behind the scenes, we continue to invest and innovate in order to create the highest possible service standards. We are deeply invested in our customers: We can only be successful if they are. The scope and quality of Hactl services becomes a strong sales tool for them. This is our constant motivation.

AI and technology have revolutionised the way air freight is being handled today. What progress has Hactl made with technology?

Hactl has always believed in the need to employ the latest and best technology. We have a proud 43-year history of innovation -  including designing, building and constantly improving our own IT systems (COSAC-Plus is the third iteration of our self-developed community cargo management system) using in-house resources. 

We already employ AI to deal with repetitive, labour-intensive processing such as charter job management and invoicing, and to add security to our mission-critical IT systems by constant monitoring for cyber threats. There are additional potential applications for AI which we are currently evaluating.

 Our engagement with innovation is driven by our Performance Enhancement team, whose sole task is to uncover areas for improvement in our processes, working methods and infrastructure. Their biggest success so far has been the switch to mobile computing throughout our giant facility, which has revolutionised our business. More recently, they devised the Smart Cargo Locating system which combines RFID and GPS technology to streamline the task of racking and retrieving outsize loose cargo – which has a direct positive impact on performance during ULD build-up.

 We continue to invest in innovation. Hactl is ahead of the game, and we want to stay that way!

Perishable goods is a growing market for air cargo. Ensuring short-shelf life products reach the customer unspoiled with minimal waste and loss is essential. How do Hactl’s facilities stack up?

Through initial and ongoing investment, Hactl’s facilities and processes have always been the best available. This begins with a large, purpose-built, multi-zone temperature controlled facility that includes thermal dollies for temperature conservation in transit on the apron. What has changed in recent times is our certification, first under GDP and subsequently under CEIV Pharma and CEIV Fresh. 

This required relatively little work or adaptation, because of our already-advanced status - but it meant we now comply with a standard recognised and accepted by all airlines. 

As the rest of the industry moves to adopt the same standard, it will achieve the end-to-end uniformity, conformity and consistency that all pharma and fresh supply chains demand. This will consolidate our industry’s position and nurture further growth in our markets that will benefit all players.

Hactl has a strong safety record in place. What initiatives are in place to promote this focus?

Hactl has worked hard for many years to create a safe and comfortable working environment for its workforce: We believe that is the staff’s right, and our duty. Awareness and practising safe working procedures is paramount, and is an inherent part of our intensive in-house training program. To reinforce this, we hold two events each year designed to drive home the need for constant vigilance: Our International Forklift Truck Driving and Pallet Building competition (to which we also invite our customers as participants), and our annual Safety Week – which brings together an intensive program of events, presentations and activities that are designed to raise safety awareness among our 2400 staff. Yet again, it’s a significant investment – but one we support wholeheartedly. Our staff are our most valuable asset and we do everything possible to protect them.

Any expansion plans to tackle increased  competition?

Competition in Hong Kong is strong, but it’s also a motivator to be better – and it holds no fears for Hactl. Last year, Hactl once again renewed its handling concession for a further 10 years because we are here to stay. 

Yes, we have many plans to expand our business and our resources, but we are not at liberty to divulge these at present.

Is cybersecurity a problem for facilities like Hactl?

 Hactl is a mission-critical business for Hong Kong. If it ceased to function, even for a few hours, it would bring the airport to a standstill. That’s why we take even the remotest risk of cyber attacks extremely seriously. All our systems have been re-written using the latest IT architecture and run on state-of-the-art equipment, which provides greatly-enhanced security. But we also employ AI to provide an early-warning system for any suspicious activity. That, with parallel redundant IT infrastructure, robust procedures and the best possible housekeeping ensure that Hactl and its customers remain secure from any attack.

Does Hactl see any threat to future  growth by deliveries from drones operating from off-airport sites?

 Drone technology is fascinating, and there is a place for it in the logistics industry. But its current nature and limitations favour small payloads over relatively short distances – so it is unlikely to make visible inroads into the mainstream global air cargo industry, at least for the foreseeable future.

 

Time of opportunity for world trade system despite issues with USA-China and UK- EU

REFORM of the World Trade Organization www.wto.org – called for by leaders of the G20 (Australia among them) and many others – is vital to the well-being of global trade and thus to the freight and logistics sector.  Without such an overhaul, the ageing system will fail to meet current and future requirements.

Speaking recently to the AIG Global Forum in Rotterdam, WTO deputy director-general Alan Wolff referred to the current situation as a time of ‘stress’ for the trading system, providing the opportunity to adapt to current realities and prepare for future challenges.

Reform would require perseverance and leadership, he said, not just from the largest trading countries but from all WTO members.

AIG www.aig.com is a major global insurance organisation serving more than 70 million clients.  With a far-reaching intelligence service and contacts at high economic and government levels, AIG is renowned for its ability to generate useful international discussions, including the AIG Global Forum.

“Were it not for the multilateral trading system, it is highly unlikely that the record of growth in trade and the global economy would be anything like the astoundingly positive numbers that have been achieved to date,” said Wolff.

“Tariffs would be a lot higher, import quotas would be common, discrimination would be rampant, product standards would choke trade and every dispute could risk retaliation and counter-retaliation. 

“Without the multilateral trading system, bilateral and regional arrangements could have created a miasma of regional content requirements that could make goods crossing a border a nightmare.” 

What has been created since the WTO was formed in 1995 (a 1947 attempt at forming such an international trade organisation failed) was of enormous value, Wolff observed.

“Nevertheless, there is an increasingly negative feeling about trade in many quarters.   Few know how important the multilateral trading system is to them, and many who are aware of the WTO’s existence tend to focus on its deficiencies, not on its accomplishments. 

“That can be useful, to an extent, because complacency would be more of a danger to the world trading system than well-founded criticism.  But there is one major caution: Progress is not likely to be born out of ennui or despair.  The times call for both increased leadership and strenuous co-operative efforts.”

There have been a series of danger signals that should have served as wake-up calls, Wolff claimed. These included the pre-emptive US withdrawal from the TPPA and the current exchange of tariff salvos between the US and China.

“On top of all of these concerns, it is still unclear what the width of the English Channel is going to be after Brexit and the degree of openness of what is now largely an invisible Irish border is still unsettled.”

Among the other major factors at play, he noted, was the possibility that the two-year moratorium on levying Customs duties on electronic transmissions might not be renewed.

“In the modern world of e-commerce, the levying of Customs duties on the content of cross border data flows could be catastrophic. 

“Policy space for national governments means the absence of coverage by international agreement, which while healthy in many respects, can in certain instances be deadly for the world economy.”

A separate Australian response to today’s global trade impasse?

Those in industry (let alone anyone with an interest in world news) will be painfully aware that global trade is under massive pressure at the moment. Examples of threats are everywhere and if they come to pass, the consequences will be uniformly bad. 

Trade and global integration have been a driver of financial and social improvement, with the World Bank estimating more than a billion people have been lifted out of poverty over the past 25 years.

The ongoing political and trade battle between the US and China (and between the US and Mexico and Canada) fills the front pages of newspapers and stories on television thanks to the significant increases in tariffs by the US and threats to escalate those tariffs and other protective measures. China has threatened to retaliate in similar terms. The inability to complete a multilateral trade deal at the WTO together with the inability to resolve the disagreements between the US and the rest of the world on the appellate division of the WTO or the shape of any rules - based platform to resolve international trade disputes have left massive uncertainty for future plans. 

The ongoing Brexit fiasco contributes to that uncertainty as we come closer to the current deadline of 31 October 2019 to complete an organised UK departure from the EU. 

The WTO has already noted the adverse impact on world GDP and other costs with one view being that we are being shielded from the real drop in GDP as parties bring forward their business activities in fear that they will be more grievously injured once the ‘wheels really fall off’ and the looming war kicks into a higher gear with real restrictions being imposed if the impasse on reform at the WTO is not resolved. Problems with cooperation at the WTO and its dispute resolution system would be a modern tragedy as it has until now been very successful in a number of ways, encouraging reductions in tariffs, improvements in trade integration and the creation of a number of valuable plurilateral agreements. There seems to be general agreement that some reform is useful but the demands for significant change on a unilateral basis from the US (to serve US ends) could be seen as an attempt to move away from the rule of law to the rule of force. Sensible global reform and improvement to advance the global cause would be the preferred outcome.

On a parochial basis, these developments are creating real and immediate concerns for Australia. In more recent time, following decades of protectionist policies, Australia has been at the forefront of trade liberalisation, including early unilateral reductions in tariffs and protection for certain ‘sheltered’ industries. This has led to the country’s average tariff now being close to zero as it secured increased global trade integration. Australia is working extensively on bilateral and plurilateral Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) and is working through the WTO and elsewhere to develop other trade initiatives. It is also collaborating with other like -minded major trading partners to develop plans to reform and maintain the WTO and all of its operations including facilitating trade enhancement and providing a basis for resolution of trade disputes.

Some despair

Despite its existing work, some have despaired that Australia, acting alone, cannot influence the global agenda and can do little to maintain its economic security, let alone continue its growth.  The question of unilateral Australian action has recently been addressed by the Productivity Commission with the publication of its Trade and Assistance Review 2017 - 18 (Review) the most recent of its annual reviews including a chapter entitled ‘The future of the world trading system’ as its ‘Theme Chapter’ to the Review.

The Commission has long been a source of valuable research and recommendation in economic matters including in relation to trade. In an earlier report it questioned the real value of its FTAs citing no real significant gains from those FTAs. In earlier editions of the Review it had called for unilateral reductions in tariffs to zero, the reduction in other industry support and removal (or revision) of Australia’s anti - dumping regime due to the recognition that dumping and subsidies could actually deliver an advantage to the economy far in excess of the damage to Australian industry. This included a separate proposal for a ‘national Interest’ test to assess whether trade remedies measures were actually in the broader national interest as opposed to merely looking at injury to local industries affected by the dumping or subsidy.

The Review was released on June 12, 2019, with a lead message confirming that global trade is under its greatest threat since World War II. It includes a series of recommendations on economic and trade issues, as well as social issues although my focus is on economic and trade issues, only some of which are discussed below.

Consequences of a trade war

The Commission observed that even though Australia is not directly engaged with the majority of the main trade issues, it would be directly affected by the consequences of a trade war - and would also be directly affected if that war was averted between the US and China (and maybe the EU) through a series of massive trade deals which would divert trade away from Australia. 

Further, even though Australia has been portrayed as a proponent and leading party in liberalising trade, the Commission found that Australia “has continued to retreat into protectionism in some areas” through A$14.4 billion in annual assistance to industries that lowered its international competitiveness. The Commission further found that “we damage our own prosperity by maintaining nuisance tariffs, other trade restrictions and one of the most active anti -dumping regimes in the world”.  According to the Commission, manufacturing and primary production receive 28 per cent of assistance while contributing nine per cent of value added to the Australian economy. 

In the context of the primary production industry it found that government support through droughts often undermined the incentives to farmers to manage their own risks and were ineffective in supporting sustainable farming practices. It said that a new drought policy and a review of subsidies was warranted.

Although there were a number of recommendations in the Review, some which were consistent to previous recommendations were that Australia should dismantle its anti-dumping regime and unilaterally remove its one-to-five per cent tariffs, which the Commission described as ‘nuisance’ measures only delivering A$2 billion a year but requiring a massive support network to be levied and recovered.

Those particular recommendations were of no great surprise as they echoed earlier recommendations by the Commission. They had previously been rejected and there seems little prospect that they will now be accepted either in political or commercial circles.  The recommendations draw from the Commission’s own form of economic assessment which may not include consideration of wider policy issues.  It is not surprising that some responses were that the current policy settings were there for good reason in accordance with international agreements, policies and standards so that movement would need to be driven by other factors (for example, the offer of reducing tariffs on European vehicles as part of negotiations with the EU for an FTA). 

However, in my view, the recommendations of the Commission warrant very close attention together with considering how there could be a ‘second best’ reform which includes keeping the existing regimes but improving how they operate so that they are not seen as protectionist or inefficient.

Consistent with its position on the importance of an open global economy, the Commission was also strong in its recommendations to support the WTO and to take all possible steps to achieve position outcomes from the current tensions.

One ray of light from the Review was an apparent slight thaw in the position of the Commission regarding FTAs. In an earlier report, the Commission questioned the value of the FTAs (from a pure economic perspective). However the Review includes a recommendation for better outreach and engagement on the benefits and use of FTAs seeking to overcome general lack of knowledge or negativity regarding FTAs - which suggests a view that there are merits in FTAs after all.

The Review and its recommendations provide excellent hard data on current trade issues and propose changes which, even if not accepted in full, form the vital basis for work to improve on current economic and social policies.

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